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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Wednesday, May 15.

‘Expansionary’ budget at odds with RBA rate push

Despite calls for Labor to adopt a contractionary fiscal policy to complement the RBA, economists say Tuesday’s budget was likely expansionary or neutral at best.

Fund mangers are riding a wave of stimulus that is helping buoy sentiment and the market.

Fundies are riding a wave of stimulus. Jim Chalmers just added to it

Investor bullishness is as strong as it’s been since 2021, but one key question in BoA’s latest fund manager survey particularly resonates after the latest budget.

The ASX is set to open higher, following a positive lead from New York.

ASX closes higher; BHP, miners advance, Santos to cut 200 jobs

Shares end higher after budget as BHP jumps; AACo swings to a loss; Iress reveals data leak; CSR hit by energy costs; Q1 wages cool more than expected.

Wages grow at slowest pace in more than a year

Wages growth slowed for a second consecutive quarter in March, to 0.8 per cent, and economists tipped further easing that lowers the chances of an interest rate rise soon.

Chalmers is telling a big budget fib

Treasurer Jim Chalmers stood in front of 600 guests at his post-budget speech in Parliament House on Wednesday and repeated a big budget fib about spending, writes John Kehoe.

Why BHP’s hopes of buying Anglo American are fading fast

BHP boss Mike Henry has taken his takeover pitch directly to Anglo American investors. But the hurdles to this bid are multiplying, and time is running out.

WA GST deal to cost federal taxpayers $53b and rising: budget

The deal will cost $44 billion more than originally promised, but neither side of politics dares change it for fear of losing seats in the west.

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FEDERAL BUDGET

Budget winners: from left, Andrew Forrest, Gina Rinehart, Chris Ellison and Mike Henry.

Miners hail tax credits but Coalition to block it

Australia’s critical minerals industry has hailed $13.7 billion in budget tax credits at the same time as the Coalition has vowed to block the policy claiming it will deliver “billions to billionaires”.

Finance Minister Katy Gallagher says the government will support agencies to “get better value”.

Defence tries its hand at consulting as Labor keeps heat on big firms

The government will also conduct a second audit of public sector employment to track the progress on reducing its reliance on external advice.

PsiQuantum’s Aussie founders professor Jeremy O’Brien and Terry Rudolph say their plans are ‘bigger than the government of the day.’

PsiQuantum deal will cost almost $30m just to check it works

But most of the details of the government’s marquee bet on the potentially powerful technology have been kept secret in the budget.

Holiday home owners to get $600 in power bill discounts

Holiday and second home owners will receive multiple $300 energy bill credits, after the government says all households would automatically receive the benefit.

Labor adds $16.5b road and rail projects

The government committed $16.5 billion to road and rail projects, including $4.1 billion for 65 new developments – just 12 of which were revealed in the budget.

budget analysis

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

There’s an $80b spending bomb buried in the budget

The people who should be most worried about this profligate pre-election budget are Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock and home borrowers, writes John Kehoe.

Chalmers soothes the symptoms instead of fighting the problem

I’m feeling as grumpy as I appear in my headshot. That’s because the big ask of the budget was not to poke the inflationary bear. It didn’t pass that test, writes Chris Richardson.

A better than expected economy, lower than forecast unemployment, and sticker than wanted inflation set up a diabolical task for Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ third budget in May.

This is the most irresponsible budget in recent memory

The government set itself a simple standard: not to make the Reserve Bank’s job harder. Michele Bullock may just choke on her cornflakes, writes Steven Hamilton.

Why economists hate the $300 energy rebate

This is a budget that acknowledges the government is facing a mountain of problems that cannot be solved any time soon, writes Laura Tingle.

US-China trade war choices for Chalmers’ green budget

The new incentives for critical minerals and green hydrogen are about more than industry policy. They will play out in a global contest over rival political systems, writes Richard McGregor.

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Companies

The Whyalla steelworks is owned by GFG Alliance. Its furnace has been out of action for months.

Gupta’s $500m Whyalla steelworks upgrade delayed by two years

A plan to produce green steel will now be pushed out until 2027, the company said. It is already grappling with issues that have shut down the furnace.

Rio Tinto chief executive Jakob Stausholm at a Canadian conference earlier this year. Mr Stausholm says he does not want M&A to distract the company from improving its existing operations.

Rio chief ‘not afraid’ of M&A as Anglo American break-up looms

Jakob Stausholm won’t rule out entering the acquisition fray, but told investors he doesn’t want big transactions to derail his recovery mission at the miner.

Claire Morris founded Prezzee with Matt Hoggett.

Prezzee co-founder quits Shaun Bonett-owned gift card company

Claire Morris is leaving the group, and resigning as its brand ambassador. It follows a string of senior executive departures in the last 18 months.

Betting on wagyu sales: AACo CEO David Harris.

Beef giant slumps to loss but CEO says there’s ‘strong demand’

The beef giant saw a drop in profits as rivals pushed more meat onto the market and costs rose.

‘Back in the game’: Hydrogen sector celebrates from afar

Almost 50 Australian companies were in Rotterdam for the World Hydrogen Summit. When news of the budget bonanza came through, the reaction was ecstatic.

Aluminium losses hit CSR ahead of Saint-Gobain $4.3b buyout

Shareholders will vote next month on the bid from Saint-Gobain, which must wrestle with a loss-making aluminium business hit hard by high energy costs.

BHP says Anglo American demerger plan vindicates takeover structure

The London-listed miner will sell or shut assets except those producing copper, iron ore and crop nutrients as it hopes to see off its Australian suitor.

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Markets

China has increasingly been shipping its steel overseas as demand from the property sectors continues to falter.

Iron ore plunge baked into the budget ‘unlikely’ to materialise

The threat to China’s iron ore supremacy is front and centre of the latest federal budget, but analysts think the government’s dire outlook may prove too pessimistic.

Retail stocks will be among the biggest beneficiaries from the budget.

ASX retail, property stocks to rally from budget boost

The “inflationary” tones from the federal budget could provide a fresh tailwind for the sharemarket, especially for retail and real estate stocks, according to brokers.

Higher producer prices may raise concerns on Wall Street.

Producer prices leap as US inflation remains sticky

The unexpectedly high readings may raise concerns on Wall Street and in the Federal Reserve.

Australian ETF winners had returns as high as 153pc

US megacap tech stocks and cryptocurrencies proved profitable investments in the last year, according to the latest top-performing ETF data – alongside some other surprise standouts.

Investors weigh whether to chase China’s new bull market

The 27 per cent surge in Chinese stocks this year continues to wrong-foot many asset managers, but some are cashing in following a disappointing few years.

Opinion

Chalmers crumbles and gives up spending restraint

Jim Chalmers is like a bloke who successfully dieted for two years but crumbled after someone shoved a bucket of KFC under his nose.

Phillip Coorey

Political editor

Phillip Coorey

Budget spending spree that locks in a decade of deficits

Given all the good luck since coming to office, there are no excuses for Labor not running successive substantial surpluses to repair the budget buffers and start repaying the pandemic debt at this point in the cycle.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Billions are not enough to realise critical mineral and renewable hydrogen hopes

Where the government can make a real difference is getting the basics right; starting with environmental approval processes is just too hard.

Patrick Gibbons

Corporate advisor

Patrick Gibbons

US-China trade war choices for Chalmers’ green budget

The new incentives for critical minerals and green hydrogen are about more than industry policy. They will play out in a global contest over rival political systems.

Chalmers’ Made in Australia is just a drop in the bucket

The new strategy is just a drop in the bucket compared with the US, and taxpayers can be relieved that the treasurer has been remarkably frugal in its funding.

Karen Maley

Columnist

Karen Maley

Why the student protests make me optimistic about the future

If there is any failure in Australian universities it more likely lies with administrators, rather than student bodies.

Adir Shiffman

Columnist

Adir Shiffman

Reports

BOSS Best Places to Work

The awards celebrate the achievements of the best small, medium and large organisations and nine sector winners.

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Politics

AFR GIF - Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers in-between television interviews at Parliament House in Canberra

Time to fix budget’s structural deficit: accountants

Accounting bodies say the federal budget should have done more to deliver substantive tax reform and a plan for implementation. Here’s how the day unfolded.

 Victorian Greens MPs Ellen Sandell and Gabrielle de Vietri wearing the keffiyeh.

Victorian parliament bans MPs from wearing keffiyeh

Victoria has joined a Canadian province in becoming one of the few parliaments in the world to ban MPs from wearing the keffiyeh.

TikTok says it co-operated with the Tax Office to permanently ban more than 60 accounts that promoted GST fraud.

Tax fraud, capital gains tax crackdown to raise $3.3b

The budget includes a broad crackdown on tax fraud, the shadow economy and the avoidance of capital gains tax by foreign residents, which Labor hopes will raise $3.3 billion.

Decade of deficits to spark debt interest surge

While Treasurer Jim Chalmers was spruiking debt in 2023-24 being $904 billion, gross debt is forecast to rise sharply in the years ahead.

The budget in five key charts

The five key graphs to understand the government’s latest federal budget.

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World

Michael Cohen

Cohen tells of Trump’s Oval Office deal to pay ‘hush money’

Michael Cohen’s story of a deal struck in the White House with Donald Trump was the only personal account tying the former president to falsified documents.

‘Dear friends’ Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin in 2019.

Putin to meet ‘dear friend’ Xi in China, defying US

The Russian president is set to arrive in Beijing, underlining the key relationship as China faces growing US pressure to curtail support for the war in Ukraine.

Lithium mining in Western Australia. New US levies on Chinese exports could provide long-term support for Australian producers.

New US tariffs on China could help Australian critical minerals

It’s not just the federal budget that could boost Australia’s critical minerals exports, but also a new round of US tariffs on Chinese imports.

The reclusive billionaire turning Georgia towards the Kremlin

Georgia’s former prime minister Bidzina Ivanishvili has returned to politics for a third time, and is taking a risk by supporting an inflammatory new law.

Biden ramps up tariff regime on $27b of China imports

Following a four-year review on trade with China, US President Joe Biden will not only keep the tariffs put in place by Donald Trump, but ratchet up others.

Property

Import, yes, but also build local skills: Matt Haines on site in Lake Macquarie, NSW.

Imported tradies need to live somewhere too

To fix the housing shortage the government needs to train many more building industry workers at home as well as fast-tracking visas for foreign tradies, builders say.

The golf course could support a $1 billion housing estate.

Former AFL star pays $190m for Cranbourne Golf Course

The 70-hectare site in Melbourne’s south-east will support up to 1500 new homes with an end value of about $1 billion.

Why would anyone want to invest in Melbourne’s housing market?

Some experts are predicting Melbourne’s housing market to bounce back strongly in the next two years, but others warn about getting in too early.

Retiring Reece chair lists $12m family mansion in South Yarra

Melbourne-based Reece chair Tim Poole and his wife Jane have listed their South Yarra home, Atherley, after 24 years owning the Italianate mansion.

For $490 million, last private land in Arctic archipelago can be yours

The massive tract of land could be an investment project for a high-net-worth individual looking to make an impact as an environmentalist.

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Wealth

First time home buyer Joanne Kim says she wouldn’t have made it in without being able to live at home for years.

Forget Boomers. Millennials, your next landlord could be a best mate

For decades, Millennials and Generation Z have blamed Baby Boomers for locking them out of the housing market. But what happens when wealthy Boomers start to give their kids cash?

From babies to Boomers: what’s in the budget for you

The 2024 federal budget includes power bill relief, more training places and additional rent assistance.

Super on parental leave adds $4250 to retirement balance

The government will also spend $55.6 million over four years to establish the Building Women’s Careers program.

Technology

Google steals OpenAI’s thunder with something 15 times bigger

The new version of Gemini can write poems about objects it’s seen, or even tell the user where it last saw her glasses.

Smartphone sales are soaring in Afghanistan.

For the Taliban, Afghans’ best status symbol is a $2120 iPhone

Commerce is thriving for some entrepreneurs despite the difficulties imposed by the country’s rulers.

Elon Musk scored a win over Anthony Albanese in the local Federal Court.

Judge rebukes ‘clear case’ of government overreach on stabbing video

A Federal Court judge said a global ban would not be a “reasonable” step and would likely be ignored by other countries.

Work & Careers

Grant Thornton senior manager Priscilla Ly says she’s proud of her employer for introducing a nine-day fortnight.

Grant Thornton adopts nine-day fortnight, but staff have to earn it

The accounting firm’s year-long trial coincided with record productivity, employee retention and profits.

Why this event maestro takes a bath every single morning

Katerina Grant is the founder and director of The World Of, an events agency that produces experiences for clients such as Hermes, Louis Vuitton and Tommy Hilfiger.

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Life & Luxury

To make Furiosa her own, Anya Taylor-Joy allowed herself to be put through an emotional and physical wringer for six months.

How Anya Taylor-Joy morphed from chess nerd to action hero

Despite being the star of Furiosa, the actor’s status was cemented by a small role in another big film set in a desert.

The McLaren 750S: Zero to 100 km/h is quoted as 2.8 seconds, and 200 comes up in 7.2 seconds.

An eventful test drive of the new McLaren 750S, priced from $586k

In a nutshell, it’s a pure and precise driving experience, even on city roads (notwithstanding an ill-timed software glitch).

Joint super funds for couples has gained traction within the super industry.

Older adults are having sex – but there is an increasing downside

Experts have offered five reasons that help explain why sexually transmitted infection rates are rising among ageing people.

Free Skiing in Steamboat.

The elite US ski town that flies under the radar of many Australians

It’s the American resort that’s bred the most winter Olympians. After a $US200 million overhaul, Steamboat’s 1500 hectares across six peaks is the place to be.

Six tips for styling a room from David Flack

Incongruous and ingenious, the work of this designer has influenced interiors all over the country. Here, he takes a humble den and makes it a haven.

From the gallery